Follow live: High-flying Chiefs take on Raiders in key AFC West affair


Ultimately it was moot due to a penalty, but had the Raiders attempted a field goal with 4:41 left in the half on 4th-and-goal from the 1-yard line, ESPN’s win probability model would have considered that an egregious error.

The Raiders’ chance to win would have been 46% if they went for it, and just 40% had they attempted a field goal.

Seth Walder, ESPN Analytics5m ago

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